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Tentative Plantar aspect ideamarketers.com

By raybishop2010 on Sep 1, 2010 |Computers

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This market place is starting up to imply me of later 2008, early on 2009. The VIX is raised and our own Market Timing Indicators happen to be low.
Although we are not nearby the pitiful status which persisted back then by a long shot. For example, the VIX come to a strong outstanding higher of $80.86 on November 20, 2008 and it come to a high of "only" $45.79 on May 20, 2010 whenever the Mighty Dow fallen 376 elements.

However most of us find out through long experience that when the Buy/Sell Ratio, BSR, will go less than 0.20, the marketplace is significantly oversold and its time frame to be seeking for an mind-blowing recurring in stock prices. Without a doubt, the BSR closed at 0.12 on May 20th and the market rebounded to the extent that will the Color Guard signaled a green light in the Price column on June 3rd. Undoubtedly, this kind of rebound was in fact simply a tiny bounce in comparison to the 30-day rally which followed the November 20, 2008 selloff, but it offers great importance in that it failed to acquire into a sustainable economic recovery as did the November 2008 rally. In the two circumstances, the market moved to lower lows. In 2009, the final low occurred on March 9, 2009 and in the active illustration, the Price of the VectorVest Composite strike an intraday lower of $22.69 per share on Tuesday, June 8th. Will this be the ultimate low for this economic downturn?

It could be, but don't bet the farm. The good news is that the June 8th intraday low of $22.69 was two cents higher than the previous intraday low of $22.67 hit on May 25th. The bad news is that the BSR closed at 0.13 on May 25th and 0.11 on June 8th. I would have liked to see it close above 0.13, but there's still more good news. The market has hit higher intraday highs and higher intraday lows each day since Tuesday, June 8th.

The best news is that the Futures took a real shot this morning due to a poor Retail Sales report, but recovered quickly on a better-than-expected Consumer Sentiment report. This shows that bargain hunters are alive and well. But they aren't as greedy as they should be. Upside volume has been weak and leads me to label the June 8th low as a Tentative Bottom.

Toning down THE TIGER Together with BEAR CALL CREDIT SPREADS.

Because of to the excessive unpredictability we were encountering in late 2008, we made a sequence of presentations together with the theme of "Taming the Tiger," i.e., dealing with unpredictability. The technique to do this, we said, has been to carry out low-risk trades by hedging your bets. On 12/05/08, for instance, we illustrated how in order to shield yourself by securing your short stock trades by getting out-of-the-money Call Alternatives. We then accompanied way up with much more presentations incorporating this theme. These days are the point in time to re-visit this low risk technique to making money. To find how it is really done, visit the VectorVest University in order to see Mr. Glenn Tompkins, who, by the way presented our first Taming the Tiger presentation, provide this week's excellent "Strategy of the Week" presentation, "Taming the Tiger with Bear Call Credit Spreads."

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About raybishop2010

Tentative Plantar aspect ideamarketers.com from raybishop2010

Author writes frequently on Stock Analysis and Portfolio Management - http://www.vectorvest.com

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